Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-14 20:15
Moreirense – Maritimo
Goals anchored to market odds
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.6% | 2.53 | 38.6% | |
| 27.8% | 3.59 | 28.9% | |
| 32.6% | 3.06 | 32.5% | |
| 67.4% | 1.48 | ||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | ||
| 72.2% | 1.39 |
Half-time result
| 37.7% | 2.65 | ||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | ||
| 18.9% | 5.3 |
Half-time double chance
| 81.1% | 1.23 | ||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | ||
| 56.5% | 1.77 |
Both halves
| 9.3% | 10.75 |
HT/FT
| 27.7% | 3.62 | ||
| 7.2% | 13.93 | ||
| 11.0% | 9.1 | ||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | ||
| 14.7% | 6.78 | ||
| 15.0% | 6.65 |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.5% | 1.57 | ||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | ||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | ||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | ||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | ||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | ||
| 32.5% | 3.07 | ||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | ||
| 50.4% | 1.98 |
Total goals
| 90.5% | 1.11 | ||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | ||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | 41.9% | |
| 21.1% | 4.73 | ||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | ||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | 58.1% | |
| 78.9% | 1.27 |
1st-half goals
| 66.9% | 1.49 | ||
| 30.4% | 3.29 |
Home team goals
| 71.4% | 1.4 | ||
| 35.1% | 2.85 |
Away team goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | ||
| 30.3% | 3.3 |
Both to score
| 47.6% | 2.1 |
Corners
| 53.6% | 1.86 | ||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | ||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | ||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | ||
| 15.6% | 6.42 | ||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | ||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | ||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | ||
| 84.4% | 1.18 |
Home corners
| 56.1% | 1.78 | ||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | ||
| 25.5% | 3.93 |
Away corners
| 52.9% | 1.89 | ||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | ||
| 22.9% | 4.36 |
Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.
| 80.9% | 1.24 | ||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | ||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | ||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | ||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | ||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | ||
| 61.9% | 1.62 |
model · fair · market (no margin)